Poker Nut Low

2021年3月31日
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Created by bigspenda73 on October 22, 2009. Having the worst possible hand after all the cards are dealt. For example, holding 24o on a board reading A 3 Q J 9. Preheat the oven to 350 degrees F. In a large mixing bowl, whisk the egg white. Add the chili powder, cumin, cayenne pepper, garlic powder, salt, and sugar and continue whisking.
Once you understand board texture, you can really start to piece together the nuts and bolts of No Limit Holdem and begin to unravel the mysterious bet-sizing and frequency choices made by the top players and the poker solver programs they learned from. In chess, amateurs commonly study the games of the world’s finest, so why not learn poker in the same way?
There is nothing worse than getting pocket aces, raising to your standard 2.5x or 3x the big blind and watching everyone fold preflop. It is even worse to progress through a hand, acquiring the nuts along the way, then watching everyone fold because you play the hand in such a way that you make it too obvious. There is a lot to think about when playing the nuts, yet many players simply sit.
In this series of articles, we embark on a voyage through the different board textures, starting at the uneventful low dry flop – where the pre-flop situation remains mostly unchanged, to the soaking wet flops, where a myriad of powerful hands become a distinct possibility.
In all of the instalments in this series, we shall be examining how board texture affects strategy in the common late position battle spot of Button vs. Big Blind – one of the most mainstream confrontations in all of 6-max cash.Introducing Range Advantages
There are two type of advantage that give one player’s range the edge over his opponent’s.
*Equity Advantage
*Nut advantageEquity Advantage
Equity Advantage means that your range is an equity favourite against your opponent’s range. In other words, if your range and your opponent’s saw the turn and the river and went to showdown, your range would win more often.
Having an equity advantage allows you to bet your range at a higher frequency, or in other words, to bet more of the hands in your range than you could if ranges were equal. This works well because when your opponent’s range has an equity disadvantage, he is forced to fold more of it to your bets than he would need to if ranges were equal in strength. This allows you to bet more hands for value and protection with impunity and makes your bluffs automatically profitable. That’s right, having more big pairs than your opponent indirectly affects the EV of betting with 7-high!Nut Advantage
Nut Advantage means that your range contains more of the very best hands possible than your opponent’s range does. This doesn’t have to mean the absolute nuts, but on a board such as 9♥9♦3♦, the nut advantage is pretty firmly dependant on who has the most trips. Having trips is very important to nut advantage here as 9x is both a common and powerful hand. On a flop like 9♠4♠2♣, however, sets are the absolute nuts, but as these goliath hands are so hard to make, having overpairs still contributes massively to the nut advantage of a player’s range.
Having the nut advantage allows us to use a bigger sizing with more of our range. The reasons for this are quite clear once you break it down. Very big hands want to play very big pots because they do not have to worry about increasing their losses against stronger hands. Contrast this to a thin value betting hand which would rather keep the pot smaller because if it goes too large it might isolate itself mainly against better hands. Whenever you have more nutted hands in your range than your opponent does in his, your range benefits from putting more money in the pot both with strong hands and with bluffs. If Villain folds too much then, fine, our bluffs will perform amazingly. If he calls too much, then our value hands will clean up.
Some beginning players have the misconception that your goal when holding the nuts is to keep your opponent in the pot at all costs. This is false. There is little gain by having an opponent stick around in a tiny pot. The real aim should be to win the most money possible on average and this means building large pots to sometimes get called down in. The EV of getting called sometimes in a giant pot much surpasses getting one small bet at a higher frequency in a small one.A Low Dry Flop – 882r
In this notation, ‘r’ stands for ‘rainbow’, meaning that there are three different suits on the flop. ‘Dry’ means that the flop is hard to connect with and that the average player will have a lot more card-high hands than he will have pairs, draws, or monsters. Paired flops, like today’s one, are about as dry as it gets because they are so hard to hit. When there are two eights out, there are only two left in the deck. The 2 makes the flop even drier because most pre-flop ranges do not contain many holdings involving a deuce. Most Deuce/X hands end up in the muck before the flop gets the chance to emerge.
We shall call this flop ‘low’ because there are no high cards present. We shall be referring to a flop like 882 as low and a flop like A88 as high. It only takes one high card to make a lot of top pair combinations possible in a raised pot (because people favour starting hands with higher cards) and this alone can change the situation dramatically from what is was before the flop came down.Equity Advantage on 882r – BU vs BB
Since a flop like 8♣8♦2♥ is so dry and so low, the high pairs and big cards that the BU raiser’s range contained pre-flop are still strong hands. Moreover, big blind usually called the open-raise with two unpaired cards and those cards were unlikely to both be large and were less likely to be suited than if he had 3-Bet. Therefore, the BB player has a lot of air here and his range is an equity underdog to the BU’s range. We can assert here that BU has the equity advantage and should therefore bet very often. BB will have to fold a lot due to his weak range on this board and this will allow BU to bet often in order to deny equity to his opponent. Moreover, the high fold equity generated by BB having to throw away a lot of his trash hands will guarantee that bluffing will be profitable for BU – even with a completely trash holding.
One big mistake some new players make is to adopt high standards about how promising a hand they need to make a bluff. On the flop, when your range has have a big equity advantage, almost any hand will do.Nut Advantage on 882r – BU vs BB
Pre-flop, BU had the range advantage because BB would have 3-Bet many of his big pairs. Because he merely called instead of raising, he doesn’t have hands like [99-AA] very often, whereas, BU has all of these hands in his range. Since a flop like 8♣8♦2♥ is paired, it actually removes a lot of BU’s nut advantage, when it comes down, levelling the playing field in this respect. BB is calling a lot of random suited cards to defend his blind as well as hands like A8o (assuming that BU makes a normal 2.5BB raise). This means that he will make trips a very relevant amount of the time and leapfrog those overpairs when he does.
Therefore, although BU’s range advantage makes him want to bet often – to bluff, to deny equity, or to value bet; depending on his hand – the fact that he does not hold a similarly powerful nut advantage – makes him want to bet smaller when he bets.
BU does not need to bet huge to get value with JJ vs Ace High. In fact, there are very few good hands in BB’s range. He is quite likely to have either a monster hand (trips) or a fairly bad one (Ace-High) so there is no need for a big value bet here from BU.
Nor does BU need to bet big to deny equity. When he has AQ and wants to make J9 fold – before it hits a pair – a small sizing will do nicely.
And when BU is bluffing with T7s, he does not need to bet much to make BB fold K7s.Conclusion
In summary, game theory suggests that due to having a big equity advantage, BU’s range should frequently bet for either value, as a bluff, or for equity denial on a low paired flop. BB will have to fold a lot on these boards due to his weak range and this will help BU’s EV when he bets. However, BU does not want to make big bets because the BB has a lot of nutted hands on this flop. BU does not hold a nut advantage and so his range does not desire massive pots.
According to a solver, BU should bet 80% of the time on this flop. I will leave you with this image from a solution I got my solver to make this morning for this very spot.
Light pink means bet small (33% pot).
Red means bet big (75% pot).
Green means check.
As we predicted with our reasoning above, there are very few big bets and checks. BU bets often with a small sizing.
Have a look over this strategy and I’ll see you soon for the next instalment of this series.16:0815 Jun
We spend a lot of time considering how to play marginal hands and how to read our opponents. We look to build our talents dictating when to bet and when to fold, but we do not spend much time thinking about how to get the most out of those wonderful occasions when we hit the absolute stone-cold nuts and cannot be beaten in the hand. While it is important to learn how best to approach those marginal spots, it is also important to ensure that wherever possible, we gain the most chips, and a nut draw is a great place to rake them in.
There is nothing worse than getting pocket aces, raising to your standard 2.5x or 3x the big blind and watching everyone fold preflop. It is even worse to progress through a hand, acquiring the nuts along the way, then watching everyone fold because you play the hand in such a way that you make it too obvious.
There is a lot to think about when playing the nuts, yet many players simply sit back and relax feeling there is nothing to worry about as they cannot lose the hand. In fact, you should do the opposite, because the true indication of success in a situation where you hold the absolute nuts is not winning the hand, you have that done already, but how many chips you collect. If you win few chips, this is an opportunity wasted, even though there will be occasions where this is beyond your control.
With the nuts, our goal is to build the pot as much as possible and not to take any action which scares away our opponents. If you earn nothing and it’s your fault, this is bad play, but if you play well and extract plenty of chips from your opponent, then this is a job well done. Let’s look at some of the things you need to keep in mind in order to play these situations well.
Check That You Have the Nuts in the First Place
The nuts is a hand that your opponents cannot possibly beat no matter what their hole cards. For example, holding KK on a board that comes down 66K (full house for you). Q6 was looking great until the 6 hit on the river. In this example, the absolute nuts is any hole card that contains a 6. Your opponent was betting into your full house with a set and was a big dog in the hand until they got the nuts on the river, with the 6 completing quad sixes. Unlucky!Poker Nut Lower
So take a second to check there is no hand that can beat you and do not get carried away. Many players think they have the nuts until their opponents show them the real nuts.You’ll walk away with a great bad beat story at the end of the day, but I’m guessing you;d rather walk away with the money.Consider the Community Cards and Your Opponent’s Likely Hole Cards
No matter what your nut hand is, most of it will be visible to your opponents in the form of the community cards. A good player will look at what the strongest possible hand is and where a very strong hand is possible, a good player player will have noted the possibility you might have it. Consider what your opponent has, (after all they can’t have the nuts because you have it!), and play the board and not the player.
If there are two clubs and you are checked to on the turn, it might be worth checking back. You might decide a flop bet was designed to earn them a free turn card. Give it to them. Ideally you want them to hit their hand and be willing to call off or bet into you on the river.
If you have a hidden or gapped hand, you can bet more easily knowing the strength of your hand is disguised. Let’s say you checked an unraised pot from the big blind with 5c 7c where you managed to hit 6c, 8c, 4c on a dream flop for a straight flush. You can check call here and hope a blank turn hits which would eliminate any small chance of a higher nut hand. Your hand is now very disguised, and your opponent might put you on a set or flush draw rather than the monster you have. You can be more confident of a call than if the board was Ah, Kh, Qh where an opponent even holding a set or straight will be a little cautious because of a flop texture that literally hits everyone.Poker Nut Low Carb
Do not slow down
Conventional poker wisdom tells us that in most cases, betting is better than checking and raising is better than calling. Texas Hold’em is an aggressive game and with modern poker based on aggression, if you suddenly slow down and begin to check-call rather than betting into opponents, even your average opponents will begin to a smell a rat very quickly. Check folding is far more common post flop when players totally miss the flop and decide to give up. If you call, this should set off alarm bells in your opponent’s minds.
As the hand progresses, your opponents will attempt to put you on a range of hands once you voluntarily invest money into the pot. Check calling announces more loudly than we would like that we remain the hand for a reason. Only the weakest opponents will ignore this and keep firing bets into you, not thinking about why you are still in the hand.
Many players slow down so as not to scare their opponents away, but unfortunately, this change of tactics can backfire and almost turn your strong hand face up to a good opponent.What does your opponent think about you?
Be aware of your table image. Following a tough beat or when you have just lost a big pot is the best time to catch a monster as your bets could be interpreted as you tilting rather than you cleverly betting for value holding the absolute nuts. In this situation, you can bet for value on every street and the strength of your hand will be disguised. Without overselling, if you have a subtle air of frustration this will look like you are steaming. The praiseworthy aspect of this example is you noticing this in advance and adjusting your play in light of what you expect your opponent will interpret about the situation.
If you have been playing tight then betting every street will instantly worry an opponent that you have suddenly opened up. After all, it is unlikely you would suddenly go reckless and take undue risks. This is the reason you should not play too tightly as you do not want your opponents thinking you are a nit and that you only play with really strong hands. This is why Daniel Negreanu’s small-ball tournament strategy was so effective early in his career and still brings him lots of success today. He splashes around with speculative hands making it really hard for his opponents to know how strong his hand is until it is too late, and he begins to bet big.
Think about your table image as you decide what to do and most importantly, what your opponents will think you are doing. If you think they are certain you are holding the nuts, that is a problem. You want opponents to believe you are betting with either a medium or semi-strong hand that they can beat. They will soon find out they were wrong when you come to the showdown.
Position is key
To some extent, you cannot control who will stay in the hand and where you will be sitting in relation to the button when a good starting hand presents itself to you. However, if you are in a hand with a player who likes to protect his blinds, you can use this information to your advantage and bet into them, knowing they will hate this. Their pride may lead them to incorrectly defend their single big blind with much of their stack, even when everything suggests they should fold.
If you are playing on a tight table, checking on the turn to give opponents the chance to hit their card or improve their hand might be the only way you can extract any value from your monster hand. As with many poker strategy articles, the answer “it depends” really means you need to watch everything and assess the context of the situations you face. That will lead you to profitable decisions.
Do not be too hard on yourself if you fail to win a large pot. It would be easy for readers to analyse every hand based on hindsight only. I have never lost a hand from the rail and nor has anyone else, but what differentiates an error from good play even when the result does not work out, is the reasons for the decisions you made. Guessing is bad. Thinking about the themes we have discussed is much better.
Think before you act at all times. You are going to win the pot, so make sure the pot you win is as large as possible. Good decisions made at these key moments can be the difference between winning and losing.
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